{"id":17171,"date":"2020-03-06T13:13:00","date_gmt":"2020-03-06T13:13:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/devalt-kambatiag.savviihq.com\/?post_type=nieuws&#038;p=17171"},"modified":"2023-06-08T11:01:16","modified_gmt":"2023-06-08T09:01:16","slug":"augmentation-exponentielle-des-risques-dans-le-commerce-international","status":"publish","type":"nieuws","link":"https:\/\/www.altares.be\/fr\/nieuws\/exponentiele-toename-risicos-internationale-handel\/","title":{"rendered":"Augmentation exponentielle des risques dans le commerce international"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Rotterdam, le 6 mars 2020 \u2013 Les pr\u00e9visions concernant les entreprises transfrontali\u00e8res pour le premier trimestre de 2020 sont les pires en 6 ans. Voil\u00e0 ce qu\u2019a indiqu\u00e9 le Global Business Risk Report (GBRR) d\u2019Altares Dun &amp; Bradstreet, le sp\u00e9cialiste des donn\u00e9es commerciales. Ce rapport vise \u00e0 classer les principales menaces pour la sph\u00e8re entrepreneuriale sur la base des cons\u00e9quences potentielles de chaque sc\u00e9nario de risque. Un score est attribu\u00e9 \u00e0 chaque risque. Plus le score est \u00e9lev\u00e9, plus le risque l\u2019est \u00e9galement.<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:30px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/www.altares.be\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/m-b-m-ZzOa5G8hSPI-unsplash-1024x683.jpg\" alt=\"Augmentation exponentielle des risques dans le commerce international\" class=\"wp-image-20493\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.altares.be\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/m-b-m-ZzOa5G8hSPI-unsplash-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.altares.be\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/m-b-m-ZzOa5G8hSPI-unsplash-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.altares.be\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/m-b-m-ZzOa5G8hSPI-unsplash-150x100.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.altares.be\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/m-b-m-ZzOa5G8hSPI-unsplash-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.altares.be\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/m-b-m-ZzOa5G8hSPI-unsplash-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.altares.be\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/m-b-m-ZzOa5G8hSPI-unsplash-2048x1365.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/www.altares.be\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/m-b-m-ZzOa5G8hSPI-unsplash-16x12.jpg 16w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Les 10 principaux risques sont additionn\u00e9s afin d\u2019obtenir un score de risque global (Global Business Impact \u2013 GBI). Pour le premier trimestre de 2020, le GBI s\u2019\u00e9l\u00e8ve \u00e0 318. Il s\u2019agit du score le plus \u00e9lev\u00e9 depuis la cr\u00e9ation du rapport en 2014. Le score surpasse \u00e9galement de 23 % la moyenne \u00e0 long terme de 258 points. D\u00e8s lors, le risque pour le climat entrepreneurial a atteint un pic sans pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">La COVID-19 apporte son lot de risques \u00e9lev\u00e9s<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>La hausse enregistr\u00e9e durant le premier trimestre s\u2019explique en grande partie par l\u2019\u00e9pid\u00e9mie de coronavirus. En premi\u00e8re place se trouve le risque que l\u2019\u00e9pid\u00e9mie de coronavirus ne soit pas endigu\u00e9e rapidement, ce qui entra\u00eenerait une paralysie de l\u2019\u00e9conomie chinoise jusqu\u2019\u00e0 la fin du deuxi\u00e8me trimestre. Le GBI de cette menace s\u2019\u00e9l\u00e8ve \u00e0 pas moins de 60, pour un plafond de 100. \u00c0 la troisi\u00e8me place du top 10, avec un GBI de 30, se trouve le risque que l\u2019\u00e9pid\u00e9mie perturbe le cours des actions mondiales et que des mesures sanitaires inattendues entravent les cha\u00eenes d\u2019approvisionnement ainsi que le commerce et les investissements. Le risque que les guerres commerciales men\u00e9es par les \u00c9tats-Unis se poursuivent \u00e0 la fin du mandat du pr\u00e9sident Trump n\u2019est pas non plus n\u00e9gligeable. Il se trouve en deuxi\u00e8me position avec un GBI de 36.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">L\u2019Europe fait face \u00e0 plusieurs menaces<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Les risques directs pour l\u2019Europe font \u00e9galement partie du top 10. En effet, le risque d\u2019un nouveau d\u00e9clin du secteur automobile et, par cons\u00e9quent, de troubles dans le secteur industriel europ\u00e9en, se positionne \u00e0 la troisi\u00e8me place du classement. Avec un GBI de 28, le risque que des partis europ\u00e9ens d\u2019extr\u00eame droite remportent les \u00e9lections se retrouve en sixi\u00e8me place. Ce risque se pr\u00e9sente notamment en France et en Italie. Par ailleurs, pareil r\u00e9sultat aux \u00e9lections compliquerait l\u2019\u00e9laboration de politiques \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9chelon europ\u00e9en. En effet, il nuirait consid\u00e9rablement aux activit\u00e9s commerciales des entreprises europ\u00e9ennes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Adriaan Kom, porte-parole d\u2019Altares Dun &amp; Bradstreet s\u2019exprime : \u00ab Le GBI du premier trimestre de 2020 indique que les risques auxquels les entreprises sont confront\u00e9es ont atteint un pic sans pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent. L\u2019\u00e9pid\u00e9mie de COVID-19 en est la principale responsable. De plus, l\u2019expansion g\u00e9ographique et la diversit\u00e9 des risques rendent le climat entrepreneurial actuel particuli\u00e8rement \u00e9prouvant. Selon un&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.altares.be\/fr\/blog\/incidence-mondiale-du-coronavirus-sur-les-entreprises\/\">rapport ant\u00e9rieur<\/a>&nbsp;, la COVID-19 a fortement affect\u00e9 la cha\u00eene d\u2019approvisionnement internationale. Cet indice GBI montre que diff\u00e9rents aspects exercent une influence sur le commerce international, qui se retrouve sous pression. \u00bb<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>De vooruitzichten voor internationale bedrijven zijn in Q1 2020 het slechtst in 6 jaar, blijkt uit dit rapport t van Altares Dun &#038; Bradstreet<\/p>","protected":false},"featured_media":20493,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false},"categories":[29],"class_list":["post-17171","nieuws","type-nieuws","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-persberichten"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Exponenti\u00eble toename risico\u2019s internationale handel - Altares<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"De vooruitzichten voor internationale bedrijven zijn in Q1 2020 het slechtst in 6 jaar, blijkt uit dit rapport t van Altares Dun &amp; 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